70th Golden Globes Predictions/Hopes

Since it's award season, and the Golden Globes are happening tonight, I figured I should try to weigh in before the ceremony, so I can make predictions and stuff. Somehow, the Globes have managed to be far more relevant to my interests than this year's Oscars, which is the first time in several years that this has happened. Will the show be better? I don't know, although Tina Fey and Amy Poehler can be funny, so there's that possibility. Anyway, here are my picks and predictions. There is a difference. My pick is what/who I want to win, while my prediction is who/what I think will win. I think a good way to go about this would be to list all of the nominees and then use some sort of font effect to show my choices. Bold picks will be my prediction, while underlined nominations will be the one I think should win. Also, I'm skipping the two musical categories, as I know nothing about them, as well as the Best Foreign Film slot, because I've yet to see any of them and Amour is going to win anyway.

Best Motion Picture -- Drama

Argo

Django Unchained

Life of Pi

Lincoln

Zero Dark Thirty

The momentum that Lincoln is getting coming out of the Oscar nominations means that it's definitely the favorite going into the Globes. However, Argo was the strongest coming out of the Critics' Choice Awards, and is also my favorite out of these choices. It comes down to these two and possibly Zero Dark Thirty, and thankfully the Globes like Bigelow and her film enough that it makes this a three-film race.

Best Motion Picture -- Musical or Comedy

The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Les Misérables

Moonrise Kingdom

Salmon Fishing in the Yemen

Silver Linings Playbook

Silver Linings Playbook is the frontrunner. It's also the only one I've seen from this list, so it gets my vote. It was adored by pretty much everyone, and has lots of momentum following the Oscar nominations. The people love it, the critics love it, and its only competition was Les Misérables, which was not adored by everyone. Also, I have to point out that Salmon Fishing in the Yemen being in this list and Pitch Perfect being snubbed is a travesty.

Best Performance in a Motion Picture -- Drama (Actor)

Daniel Day-Lewis -- Lincoln as Abraham Lincoln

Richard Gere -- Arbitrage as Robert Miller

John Hawkes -- The Sessions as Mark O'Brien

Joaquin Phoenix -- The Master as Freddie Quell

Denzel Washington -- Flight as William "Whip" Whitaker

Daniel Day-Lewis is loved by a lot of people, and for good reason. With Lincoln coming out as strong as it is, there's a good chance that its lead -- and the main reason the film worked -- will take this category. Phoenix and Washington might each have a slight chance, but I don't see this going to anyone but Day-Lewis.

Best Performance in a Motion Picture -- Drama (Actress)

Jessica Chastain -- Zero Dark Thirty as Maya

Marion Cotillard -- Rust and Bone as Stéphanie

Helen Mirren -- Hitchcock as Alma Reville

Naomi Watts -- The Impossible as Maria Bennett

Rachel Weisz -- The Deep Blue Sea as Hester Collyer

It's a little silly that The Deep Blue Sea is even here, considering it was a 2011 release, but I suppose the Globes are just going based on American release dates. Does that mean Cloud Atlas will have a shot at next year's BAFTAs? Anyway, Chastain looks to be the frontrunner here, until I remember that Mama is coming out shortly and I don't know if anyone is going to want to associate themselves with that movie. Watts is the one I hope to win, if only because she deserves to win some awards at some point, and winning the Globes might increase her chance to get the Oscar she deserves.

Best Performance in a Motion Picture -- Musical or Comedy (Actor)

Jack Black -- Bernie as Bernie Tiede

Bradley Cooper -- Silver Linings Playbook as Pat Solitano

Hugh Jackman -- Les Misérables as Jean Valjean

Ewan McGregor -- Salmon Fishing in the Yemen as Alfred "Fred" Jones

Bill Murray -- Hyde Park on Hudson as Franklin D. Roosevelt

With how beloved Silver Linings Playbook is, and that Cooper and Jackman are the only actors in the category to have gotten an Oscar nomination, I have to think Cooper will take it. It was really nice to see Jack Black on here, which is a sentence I never thought I'd say. Bernie was a really good role for him, and it really made me see him as a different actor.

Best Performance in a Motion Picture -- Musical or Comedy (Actress)

Emily Blunt -- Salmon Fishing in the Yemen as Harriet Chetwode-Talbot

Judi Dench -- The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel as Evelyn Greenslade

Jennifer Lawrence -- Silver Linings Playbook as Tiffany Maxwell

Maggie Smith -- Quartet as Jean Horton

Meryl Streep -- Hope Springs as Kay Soames

This is Jennifer Lawrence's award. I can't conceivably see anyone else taking it from her.

Best Supporting Actor

Alan Arkin -- Argo as Lester Siegel

Leonardo DiCaprio -- Django Unchained as Calvin J. Candie

Phillip Seymour Hoffman -- The Master as Lancaster Dodd

Tommy Lee Jones -- Lincoln as Thaddeus Stevens

Christoph Waltz -- Django Unchained as Dr. King Schultz

The awards love the characters that Christoph Waltz plays in Quentin Tarantino movies. However, as much as I love Waltz, I don't think he did anything much different from what he did in Inglourious Basterds. The characters were really similar, and that seems to be Waltz's range. I picked Tommy Lee Jones to possibly win it all back when Lincoln came out, and I'm going to stick with that hope, even though Waltz probably has a better chance at taking it. Hoffman also has a good chance, while I don't see DiCaprio or Arkin making a dent.

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams -- The Master as Peggy Dodd

Sally Field -- Lincoln as Mary Todd Lincoln

Anne Hathaway -- Les Misérables as Fantine

Helen Hunt -- The Sessions as Cheryl Cohen Greene

Nicole Kidman -- The Paperboy as Charlotte Bless

From all reports, Hathaway will win this and the Oscar. It's as simple as that. Her performance in the trailer for Les Misérables was enough to bring tears to some people. I don't see any way she loses it.

Best Director

Ben Affleck -- Argo

Kathryn Bigelow -- Zero Dark Thirty

Ang Lee -- Life of Pi

Steven Spielberg -- Lincoln

Quentin Tarantino -- Django Unchained

This comes down to the same sort of race as the Best Picture slot. This is also one the categories that makes the Globes better than the Oscars this year. Both Tarantino and Bigelow were left off the Best Director list for the Oscars. They're both here. I see Bigelow as a potential to win, which would be an even bigger shot to the Oscars, but with Lincoln, I think Spielberg has the best shot, even though I liked Argo more.

Best Screenplay

Chris Terrio -- Argo

Quentin Tarantino -- Django Unchained

Tony Kushner -- Lincoln

David O. Russell -- Silver Linings Playbook

Mark Boal -- Zero Dark Thirty

If there's one category I can see Lincoln not winning, it's Best Screenplay. Does that mean it won't win? Absolutely not. In fact, it might be the frontrunner. But I see Silver Linings Playbook taking it. Lincoln was too simple-minded in my mind. And with Silver Linings being one of the two most loved films, it could win. Of course, I found Argo more interesting and funnier, but I start to feel like the only one with every category.

Best Animated Feature Film

Brave

Frankenweenie

Hotel Transylvania

Rise of the Guardians

Wreck-It Ralph

How did Rise of the Guardians and Hotel Transylvania get in over ParaNorman? Someone please explain that to me, as I don't understand it. Anyway, this is still an interesting category. Brave was Pixar's weakest non-sequel, but it's still Pixar which means it has a good chance. Frankenweenie has gotten a surprisingly good reception, although it's Tim Burton and awards shows don't like him. Wreck-It Ralph will likely not win considering Scott Pilgrim also failed to get many awards -- video game movies just can't do well given the average age of the voters. My money is on Brave taking it, although I'll hope for Wreck-It Ralph.

That's all from me. Fingers crossed that it's a good show!

Ciao for now.